When someone talks to me about cryptocurrencies, few people ask me about the security of cryptocurrencies, the potential social and economic impact of time-stamped distributed ledgers. Most people ask, "Do I have to buy bitcoin? ?"
Whether you think Bitcoin is the square of the rat medicine, whether it is the Internet currency, or that you always feel that it is not stable enough and the technical content is too high, but if you want the wealth to appreciate or preserve, you better hold some Bitcoin.
Look at the picture
- Successfully prejudged the BTC three-round big bear market, and the red alarm was re-sounding after 18 months.
- The number of BTC daily active addresses once again exceeded 1 million. The last time, BTC rose to 20,000 US dollars.
- The young man who didn’t buy Bitcoin for $3,000 bought it when he was 10,000.
- Fed Chairman Powell: Bitcoin is likely to replace the US dollar as the world's reserve currency, and the current regulatory system is powerless to Libra.
- The Beijing News: The central bank’s digital renminbi is coming out, and the Bitcoin Librae currency is going to be cool?
- Viewing the Status Quo of Blockchain from "Byzantine Compassion" and the original sin of Nakamoto
This is a bitcoin price chart since 2013. You can hardly see this on other news sites.
The fluctuations of the original image are very large, but this picture has exactly the same data, but it is drawn by the “logarithmic scale” (usually used when there is a large range of differences), which alleviates these Fluctuation peaks , so you can see trends better without distortion.
News sites need charts that are highly volatile, making bitcoin prices look more exciting, more dangerous, and more lively, but here we only focus on its trends.
Based on the above chart, we add a yellow trend line:
What did you find about the price of Bitcoin?
Obviously, prices are almost always on the rise.
Not a simple rise, in the first 5 years (not shown in the chart), the price rose from $0.003 to $135, and in the next five years, the price rose from $135 to $10,000.
Prices will change, but the trend will remain the same
In the "moderate" chart above, there are hidden ups of 1000% and plunging 80%, forged transactions, manipulation, speculation, fraud, fear of missing and fear , and you will see activity in many financial assets.
Let's put aside all of this. Let's assume that you know that Bitcoin is a speculative investment. Now that you have $100 in your pocket, what happens when you use it to invest in Bitcoin?
Option 1: The trend of Bitcoin has stopped, history has not repeated, and finally bitcoin is zero, you lose 100 dollars;
Option 2: The trend of Bitcoin continues, history is repeating itself, Bitcoin has risen by 1000%, and you have earned $1,000.
Option 1 has never happened, option 2 always happens. Which one is more likely?
No one can predict the future, and it is not impossible for Bitcoin to stop rising. Even US stocks can't guarantee a 7% annual increase (some experts even call for a return to market stagnation in the 1970s).
Bitcoin is overrated before seeing the big picture
People may think that it is crazy to spend $10,000 to buy "fake money" that nobody uses, but it would be normal to buy a stock of Berkshire Hathaway under Buffett for $306,000.
(BRK.A stock price trend, August 4, 2019)
As a person who owns both assets, I feel that Warren Buffett's company will never capture all the wealth of the world.
But Bitcoin is possible.
The “world wealth” worth hundreds of billions of dollars is likely to be recorded in the blockchain and exchanged using bitcoin. As the Bitcoin network evolves, it will continue to draw more and more wealth.
In the past decade, developers have made bitcoin technology better, cheaper, and more useless. As the number of users and transactions increases, so does the number of Bitcoin wallets.
Some giants like Microsoft have used Bitcoin's underlying blockchain technology to solve real-world problems and services , and they have not slowed down the pace of iteration.
Recently, two Wall Street firms, Fidelity and Bakkt , were first approved to sell investment products that use real bitcoin rather than paper equivalents. These companies have more plans to follow up, along with marketing and advertising to attract customers.
Every day in the future, more and more businessmen and businesses will accept bitcoin. Even Ohio, USA, now accepts bitcoin tax. Does this mean that the Bitcoin network will continue to grow?
Original author: Mark Helfman
Compile: Martha Card
Source: Block wave