Analyst PlanB: Compared to Bitcoin, the "beast", Amazon's stock performance can only be said to be "normal"

Even compared to the darling of the stock market in the 2000s, Amazon's risk-reward performance of Bitcoin (BTC) still looks like a strange beast.

This is the conclusion of one of the most famous analysts in the cryptocurrency industry and the creator of a particularly accurate Bitcoin price model.

PlanB: Compared to BTC, Amazon's performance can only be said to be "normal"

On January 24th, PlanB uploaded a chart showing the relationship between BTC risk returns and Amazon stocks, US bonds, gold and the S & P 500 index, showing that Bitcoin behaves completely differently as an investment.

In 2000, Amazon suffered a huge loss, and even after its prestigious recovery, it is still far below the risk-reward ratio of Bitcoin.

PlanB concluded: "Bitcoin … is a strange beast!"

He described Amazon on the chart as "closer to normal."

Amazon's recent share price appears to have shrugged off news of Saudi Arabia's alleged invasion of CEO Jeff Bezos this week. Nonetheless, both Amazon stock prices and BTC have fallen over the past 7 days, with the latter likely to respond to uncertainty from China.

11BD66BF764B49CA857CC81CC4EE1656

Bitcoin Risk Returns and Major Investments. Source: PlanB / Twitter

An unstable winning bet

An impressive comparison took place a few days ago, and Cointelegraph reports that based on a four-year investment, Bitcoin's risk-adjusted returns exceed all major investment products.

Then, PlanB seems to suggest that a four-year period (each time to reduce the interval between new Bitcoin supply, that is, to halve the interval) may continue to improve Bitcoin performance.

In addition, cryptographer Nick Szabo added that traditional tools are susceptible to government and central bank intervention in currency markets, which means that Bitcoin is well suited for long-term or low-priority investors.

PlanB's price model (from inventory to circulation, stock-to-flow) correctly reflects the historical behavior of Bitcoin and continues to predict that the price of BTC / USD will reach $ 100,000 in 2021.

At the current level, the market continues to comply with the stock-to-flow law, and the current transaction price is $ 8,300, which is slightly below the recommended range. In fact, until the next halving in May of this year, $ 8,300 is the average price that the model says Bitcoin will trade before it rises sharply.

We will continue to update Blocking; if you have any questions or suggestions, please contact us!

Share:

Was this article helpful?

93 out of 132 found this helpful

Discover more

Blockchain

Where is the decentralized Chuhe Han Realm? Which is the trend?

❖Centralized Exchanges ❖ The reason for the closure of Fcoin is that the trading platform cannot be res...

News

Policy reshuffle is intensified: the crisis and new life of virtual currency exchanges

The virtual currency exchange industry may have to "change the sky", which seems to be the consensus of the...

Blockchain

Will NOVA be the next Pepe? Analysis from the perspective of trading techniques.

"Ten years of speculation in cryptocurrency can all be in vain, but a successful gamble on meme can make you live in ...

Opinion

Data Perspective on the South Korean Cryptocurrency Market Strong Growth of CEX and Obsession of Retail Investors with Altcoins

We will study data from centralized exchanges in Korea and explore the characteristics and trends of Korean investors.

Blockchain

Gemini Exchange sets up insurance company to provide $ 200 million in insurance for custody services

The Winklevoss brothers' Gemini exchange has set up an insurance company to prepare up to $ 200 million in insur...

Blockchain

FTX Founder’s Shady Messaging Moves: The Signal of Trouble

Sam Bankman-Fried's Criminal Trial is Underway