🚀 The Bitcoin ETF Buzz: Is the Market Ready? 📈

Expert Glen Goodman Examines Whether the Approval of a Bitcoin ETF is Already Factored In, and the Potential Consequences if Regulator Gary Gensler Delays It

According to analyst Glen Goodman, the Bitcoin ETF has already been fully accounted for in the market.

Last updated: January 3, 2024 07:11 EST

Glen Goodman.
Glen Goodman. Source: a video screenshot, Cryptonites TV / YouTube

In a recent interview, blockchain analyst and author of The Crypto Trader, Glen Goodman, shared his thoughts on the possibility of a Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) and the potential impact of a delay by SEC Chair Gary Gensler. Let’s dive into the details and examine what this means for the crypto market.

The ETF Buzz: Is It Already Priced In? 💰

The global crypto community is eagerly awaiting the decision of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding the approval of a Bitcoin ETF. According to Goodman, most market participants have already “bought into” the idea that an ETF is on the horizon. In his own words, “When it comes to it being priced in, I’d say it’s pretty fully priced in, probably.” In other words, the market has already factored in the potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF.

But what if the approval doesn’t happen? This is where things get interesting.

The Unknown Factor: Gary Gensler 🔍

Goodman shines a spotlight on SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who has a reputation for being tough on the crypto industry. He believes that people often overlook Gensler’s influence when discussing the ETF approval process. As Goodman puts it, “Gary Gensler, we know, he never has anything good to say about crypto, does he? So he is the unknown factor in all this. And frankly, he is the boss.”

Gensler’s stance on crypto could potentially lead to additional demands and requirements for ETF applicants, thereby delaying the approval process. Goodman gives an example of recent discussions around custody and trading separation, highlighting how Gensler might insist on stricter measures before giving the green light.

Brace Yourself: The Consequences of a Delay ⏳

What would happen if the ETF approval is delayed indefinitely? According to Goodman, it could have a significant impact on the price of Bitcoin. He warns, “If we get the impression from [the SEC] that the delay is open-ended as opposed to just ‘oh, we just want a few final things done,’ then it could be really bad.”

Bitcoin has a history of experiencing drastic price drops that wipe out months of gains in a matter of days. Goodman notes that the current state of the market is driven by high levels of futures funding rates, indicating that many individuals are borrowing substantial amounts of money to invest in BTC. If a negative sentiment arises and Bitcoin starts falling, a cascade of liquidations could occur, triggering a domino effect of further selling.

Despite his cautionary tone, Goodman states that he personally hasn’t sold his Bitcoin holdings yet, although he has “lightened up” on them. He believes that Bitcoin’s ability to bounce back swiftly after a drop should not be underestimated.

The Future of Bitcoin and Other Drivers 🔮

While the Bitcoin ETF approval remains the hottest topic, it’s essential to consider other factors that could shape the crypto market in 2024. According to Goodman, gaming, artificial intelligence (AI), and decentralized social media will play significant roles in driving the industry forward.

🔍 Q&A: Reader’s Corner

Q1: What exactly is an exchange-traded fund (ETF)?

An ETF is a type of investment fund and exchange-traded product that allows individuals to gain exposure to various assets, such as stocks, commodities, or cryptocurrencies, without directly owning them. It offers diversification and liquidity, similar to a mutual fund, while being traded on stock exchanges like individual stocks.

Q2: Why is the Bitcoin ETF approval so crucial for the cryptocurrency market?

The approval of a Bitcoin ETF would enable institutional investors to easily invest in Bitcoin without directly owning the underlying asset. This would likely lead to increased demand and liquidity for Bitcoin, potentially driving up its price. Additionally, it would provide a more regulated and accessible investment vehicle for retail investors interested in crypto but hesitant to navigate the complexities of holding and securing digital assets.

📈 Market Outlook and Conclusion

While the market has already priced in the potential approval of a Bitcoin ETF, the influence of SEC Chair Gary Gensler remains a wildcard. His strict stance on crypto could introduce additional requirements that delay the approval process.

Investors should remain cautious in the case of a prolonged delay as it could lead to significant price drops. However, Bitcoin’s resilience and past patterns suggest that any downside may be temporary.

Looking beyond the ETF buzz, the future of the crypto market will be shaped by sectors such as gaming, artificial intelligence, and decentralized social media. These emerging trends offer exciting opportunities for investors to explore.

🔗 References:

  1. Bitcoin Miners Reduce BTC Holdings as Miner Price Nears $65K
  2. Wall Street Giant Seeking to Launch Bitcoin ETF
  3. Recent Talks Signal Progress for Bitcoin ETF Approval
  4. BitGo: Advancing Digital Asset Custody and Trading Separation
  5. Bitcoin Miner Marathon Digital Tops US Trading Charts

📣 Join the Discussion! Share Your Thoughts 🤔

What are your predictions for the Bitcoin ETF approval? How do you think Gary Gensler’s influence will shape the outcome? Share your insights below and let’s start a conversation!

Don’t forget to share this article with your friends and fellow crypto enthusiasts. Together, we can stay informed and navigate the ever-evolving crypto landscape!

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