Inventory: Who will predict the price of Bitcoin in 2019?
Author: Liang CHE
Source: Tweet bitpush.news
2019 is coming to an end, and BitpushNews has taken stock of the industry's prediction of the price of Bitcoin before the end of 2019.
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"Time Traveler" Luka_Magnotta: $ 100,000
The earliest prediction of the price of bitcoin at the end of 2019 came from distant 2013, when Luka_Magnotta, who claimed to be a "time traveler" from 2025, predicted the price of bitcoin in the Reddit community.
Luka_Magnotta wrote at the time, "On average, the value of Bitcoin has increased tenfold so far. From $ 0.1 in 2010 to $ 1 in 2011, to $ 10 in 2012, to $ 100 in 2013 .From now on, the value will increase tenfold every two years, to $ 1,000 in 2015, $ 10,000 in 2017, $ 100,000 in 2019, and $ 1 million in 2021. "
Luka_Magnotta's price predictions for 2017 are not outrageous in general, but 2019 may disappoint him / her.
Fundstrat analyst Thomas Lee: $ 36,000
Thomas Lee, Wall Street star crypto analyst from Fundstrat, predicted the price of bitcoin at the end of 2019 in May 2018.
He analyzed the relationship between the cost of bitcoin mining and the price, and said that at the end of 2019, the price of bitcoin will be between $ 20,000 and $ 64,000, more accurately, $ 36,000.
His calculation focuses on the Bitcoin price relative to the mining cost of each Bitcoin P / BE, which he believes is a relatively reliable long-term price support level.
Earlier, he also predicted that Bitcoin would rise to $ 25,000 at the end of 2018, but in fact Bitcoin fell to around $ 3,000 at the end of 2018.
BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes: $ 10,000
In March 2019, the cryptocurrency market has not yet started to rise, but Arthur Hayes, CEO of the BitMEX exchange, has boldly predicted that the price of Bitcoin will reach $ 10,000 by the end of 2019.
He said, "2019 will be boring, but there will be a recovery at the end of the year, and we will see Bitcoin surpass the psychological resistance level of $ 10,000 in the fourth quarter. Bitcoin's market dominance will fall to August 2018 The lowest level since, which will indicate a renewed interest in altcoins. "
Although Hayes's prediction is probably the most likely of all the predictions to be successful in terms of results, he is completely wrong about the process. The crypto market in 2019 is not boring. Bitcoin was weak before the end of the year, and Bitcoin's strength is gradually marginalizing altcoins.
Kenetic co-founder JehanChu: $ 30,000
After April 2019, the cryptocurrency market recovers, and the industry's predictions for the price of Bitcoin are becoming more optimistic.
JehanChu, co-founder of Kenetic, a Hong Kong-based blockchain investment company, predicted in Bloomberg Markets: Asia that the price of Bitcoin will be as high as $ 30,000 by the end of 2019.
He believes that due to the large-scale application of Bitcoin by global giants such as Facebook, JP Morgan, Rakuten and Fidelity, Bitcoin and other crypto markets will continue to be optimistic in 2019. And after the disappointment brought by Uber and Lyft IPOs, the crypto industry will be more likely to become the "better technology" pursued by global investors. In addition, the halving of the upcoming Bitcoin block reward will also push up the price of Bitcoin.
Bitcoin podcast host Trace Mayer: $ 21,000
On June 18, social media giant Facebook announced its crypto project Libra, which also completely ignited the enthusiasm of the crypto market. Investors hope that Bitcoin will break 2017's all-time high.
Bitcoin podcast host Trace Mayer said on June 24 that according to the price analysis indicator "Mayer Multiple", the current Bitcoin price trajectory may bring it to $ 21,000 by the end of the year.
The Mayer Multiple indicator is the ratio of the current Bitcoin price to the 200-day moving average, which at that time was 2.09.
In addition, he also believes that the halving of Bitcoin block rewards next year is also a factor driving the price of Bitcoin. Mayer also predicts that Bitcoin will reach more than $ 30,000 a month after halving block rewards in 2020.
Galaxy CEO Mike Novogratz: $ 20,000
Entering the second half of the year, the price of bitcoin has never been able to break up again after hitting a year high. Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz predicts that institutional entry into the crypto market will drive Bitcoin prices to an all-time high of $ 20,000 by the end of 2019.
After reviewing the surge of Bitcoin from $ 4,000 to around $ 13,500 in the first half of the year, he said that prices may still consolidate between $ 10,000 and the year's high. But once institutions show strong interest in cryptocurrencies again, Bitcoin may return to $ 20,000 by the end of 2019.
Pantera CEO Dan Morehead: $ 42,000
Also in July, Dan Morehead, CEO of crypto investment company and hedge fund Pantera Capital on the Unchained podcast, said that Bitcoin could reach $ 42,000 by the end of the year.
He said that if the price of bitcoin returns to the historical trend line, "this will make bitcoin likely reach $ 42,000 by the end of 2019. I know this sounds crazy, but we have actually achieved half of it. Bitcoin is positive On this trend line, I think it is very likely that we will reach this level by the end of this year. According to this trend, Bitcoin will reach $ 122,000 next year and $ 356,000 in the following year. "
Fundstrat analyst Thomas Lee: record high
At the end of July, Fundstrat analyst Thomas Lee made another prediction on the price of Bitcoin. He believes that the Fed's rate cut is a positive for Bitcoin.
He said, "Bitcoin is increasingly becoming a macro hedging tool for investors to guard against possible problems. Interest rate cuts have increased liquidity. Liquidity is driving money into all these risky and hedging assets, which is helping Bitcoin. We haven't set a target price for Bitcoin, but the previous high was $ 20,000. I think Bitcoin is likely to reach such a high level this year. "
Not long ago, Thomas Lee also stated that once the price of bitcoin exceeds $ 10,000, it will reach $ 40,000 in a few months.
Crypto analyst Josh Rager hits annual high
Bitcoin continued to consolidate around $ 10,000 in the third quarter. Crypto analyst Josh Rager believes that Bitcoin, which has the highest market capitalization, may reach a new annual high by the end of 2019.
Rager tweeted that it was an unrealistic idea to wait for Bitcoin to drop to $ 5,000 before bottoming out. Now it is worth even buying at $ 11,000, as Bitcoin may reach a new level by the end of 2019. Annual high.
In addition, Rager said investors who want bitcoin to fall below $ 8,000 are disappointed. Because as the exchange Bakkt announced that it will launch bitcoin futures for physical settlement, it is expected that the price of bitcoin will continue to rise as institutions enter the market.
Analyst Skew et al: $ 10,000 Makes New Bottom
Crypto analyst Skew released prediction data on Twitter at the end of August saying that the probability of Bitcoin hitting a record high in 2019 is decreasing, but $ 10,000 is developing into a solid support level.
Nigel Green, CEO and founder of financial consulting firm deVere Group, also said in an interview with London business news media LondonLovesBusiness that $ 10,000 is becoming a new bottom for Bitcoin. He said, "Looking at this year's performance, I believe Bitcoin's new bottom is $ 10,000. It will rebound from this price. If it fluctuates below this price, it will pick up again."
Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken's Nelson Minier also expressed a similar view, noting that although Bitcoin is not yet a safe haven asset, some investors are already using it. He believes that "cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are increasingly recognized worldwide, and the new bottom of Bitcoin will be $ 10,000."
Analyst Roger Quantrillo: $ 17,000
Entering the fourth quarter, as Bakkt's bitcoin futures failed to meet market expectations, the cryptocurrency market plummeted. But then China's supreme leader spoke in support of the blockchain and also gave the cryptocurrency market a boost.
Cryptocurrency analyst Roger Quantrillo tweeted in November that "Bitcoin will reach $ 17,000 by the end of the year."
Quantrillo has previously successfully predicted that Bitcoin will fall by 50% when it reaches its annual high, but its latest prediction is obviously more bold.
Conclusion
More than ten years after its birth, cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are developing at a faster rate than traditional markets, and crypto assets are developing into an asset class different from other traditional assets.
We will wait and see where cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin will go in 2020.
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